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The Euro-Gulf Monitor 23 – 30 September 2025

BY Matthew Robinson

5 Top Points

  1. EU ‘snapback’ on Iran formally activated (29 September): The Council of the EU adopted  legal acts to restore restrictive measures on Iran’s nuclear programme, re-imposing asset freezes,  trade/finance curbs, and listings that had been eased under the JCPOA.  
  2. Saudi equities surge on foreign-ownership liberalisation signal: The Tadawul All-Share Index  jumped about 5% (its biggest one-day rise since 2020) after reports that the Capital Market  Authority is preparing to allow majority foreign ownership of listed companies as soon as year-end.  
  3. Italy-Bahrain 1 billion EUR strategic partnership: In Rome, Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad  Al Khalifa and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni launched a Strategic Investments and  Collaboration Partnership, spanning energy, defence, logistics, tourism, industry, financial services  and ICT.  
  4. Abu Dhabi’s XRG closes first US gas stake: ADNOC affirms Rio Grande LNG offtake, with its  investment arm XRG completing the purchase of an 11.7% interest in phase one of NextDecade’s  Rio Grande LNG.  
  5. QIA and Blue Owl launch more than 3 billion USD data-centre platform: Qatar’s sovereign  fund will co-anchor a permanent-capital digital-infrastructure vehicle to expand global compute  capacity for hyper-scalers, underscoring Gulf sovereigns’ pivot into AI-enabling infrastructure.  

‘Round and About the Gulf’

Al-Fateh Grand Mosque in Bahrain

Kingdom of Bahrain Kingdom of Bahrain-img

Monday, 29 September – Italy-Bahrain sign a more than 1 billion EUR strategic partnership (Rome).  Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa and Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia  Meloni announced the Strategic Investments and Collaboration Partnership to co-develop projects  across energy (including transition and efficiency), defence/dual-use industry, logistics and ports,  tourism, manufacturing, financial services, and ICT/digital. The leaders’ joint statement also called  for de-escalation in Gaza and reaffirmed support for a two-state solution.

Monday, 29 September – Coinciding with the Italy-Bahran Strategic Investments and Collaboration  Partnership announcement, Bahrain’s Mumtalakat and Investindustrial signed a framework  collaboration agreement to facilitate two-way investments, while Bahraini and Italian banks  concluded arrangements to support SME trade and project finance.

State of Kuwait

State of Kuwait Sultanate of Oman-img

Saturday, 27 September – Kuwait’s Minister of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy Subaih  Abdulaziz Al-Mukhaizeem announced plans to add 14.05 GW of generation capacity by 2031 to

meet rising peak demand and strengthen system resilience. Related briefings indicate the build-out  aligns with expanded water-production capacity and a staged project pipeline to bolster security of  supply.

Monday, 29 September – In a Kuwait Airways balance-sheet reset, an extraordinary general  assembly approved a restructuring to extinguish circa 300 million KWD of accumulated losses via a  294 million KWD paid-up capital reduction and a 6 million KWD cut to the legal reserve, alongside  authorisation for a 300 million KWD capital increase to be called according to a KIA payment  schedule, leaving issued capital at 983.66 million KWD.

Tuesday, 30 September – In a return to global debt markets, Kuwait priced 11.25 billion USD across  three US-dollar tranches (3/5/10-year) in its first sovereign issue since 2017. Peak books topped  27–28 billion USD, with final sizes of 3.25 billion USD (2028 maturity), $3.0 billion USD (2030)  and 5 billion USD (2035). The deal was issued under the GMTN programme with Citi, Goldman  Sachs, HSBC, J.P. Morgan and Mizuho as joint global coordinators. It follows the March 2025  public-debt law, which lifted the sovereign borrowing cap to 30 billion KWD.

Sultanate of Oman Sultanate of Oman-img

Monday, 29 September – Oman LNG’s fourth train advances, with Muscat shortlisting EPC  contractors and prepared bid packages for a new 3.8 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) liquefaction  train at Qalhat, targeting commissioning around 2029, which would lift total capacity to circa 15.2  mtpa.

Wednesday, 24 September – Long-term residency Golden and Silver Visas in Oman have been  clarified. Following the earlier Aug launch, legal guidance has now outlined eligibility pathways for  5-year (Silver) and 10-year (Golden) permits, including investment routes via real estate, equities  and company formation, administered through Invest Oman.

qatar-img

State of Qatar State of Qatar-img

Tuesday, 30 September – QatarEnergy signs first direct long-term helium SPA with Messer. The  agreement supplies circa 100 mn cubic feet per year of high-purity helium from Ras Laffan to  Messer’s global customers, reinforcing Qatar’s position as a top helium producer and diversifying  off-take partners.

Friday, 26 September – QIA–Blue Owl launch a new digital-infrastructure platform, with more than  3 billion USD of data-centre assets to accelerate global compute for AI and cloud workloads.

Saudi-arabia-img

Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Kingdom of Saudi Arabia-img

Wednesday, 24 September – On signals that Saudi regulators will lift or ease the 49% cap on foreign  holdings in listed firms, the Tadawul added roughly $120 billion USD in market value in a single  session, with analysts pointing to sizeable passive inflows once rules are finalised.

Thursday, 25 September – PIF-owned AviLease began preparations for an inaugural USD bond  (sources suggest more than 500 million USD) under a broader programme, following investment grade ratings earlier this year.

United Arab Emirates-img

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates-img

Thursday, 25 September – ADNOC’s international investment arm XRG completed the purchase of  an 11.7% equity interest in Phase 1 (Trains 1–3) of NextDecade’s Rio Grande LNG in Brownsville,  Texas. In parallel, ADNOC has a 20-year LNG offtake for 1.9 mtpa from the planned Train 4, FOB  and Henry Hub-indexed, enhancing Abu Dhabi’s access to Atlantic Basin supply. Phase 1 comprises  three liquefaction trains plus storage and marine facilities. The agreement broadens the UAE’s LNG  optionality and aligns with XRG’s mandate to scale lower-carbon gas investments globally.

Monday, 29 September – The Central Bank and Dubai’s Department of Finance signed an agreement  enabling the use of CBUAE’s market infrastructure to issue dirham-denominated Dubai government  bonds and deepen local-currency capital markets; cooperation spans payments, fintech and market  development.

EU Corner

The Council formally reimposed all EU nuclear-related restrictive measures lifted under the JCPOA,  following the UN’s restoration of sanctions and the E3’s trigger of the snapback mechanism. The  reactivated package covers travel bans and asset freezes, plus broad trade, financial and transport  measures, including bans on imports of Iranian crude, gas, petrochemicals and petroleum products;  prohibitions on supplying key energy-sector equipment, gold/precious metals/diamonds, certain  naval equipment and software; a renewed asset freeze on the Central Bank of Iran and major banks;  and restrictions on Iranian cargo aviation access and servicing. The legal acts include Council  Regulation (EU) 2025/1975, Council Decision (CFSP) 2025/1972. EU High Representative for  Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas stressed that this ‘must not be the end of diplomacy’ and that the EU  would implement sanctions ‘without delay.’

Key Official Visits & Contacts

Monday/Tuesday, 29-30 September (Rome and Vatican City). Bahrain’s Crown Prince and Prime  Minister Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa met Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni at Palazzo Chigi,  where the two sides unveiled the Strategic Investments & Collaboration Partnership. Separate  engagements included meetings with Italian business leaders to deepen two-way deal flow. In the  Vatican, the Crown Prince had an audience with Pope Leo XIV and talks with Cardinal Pietro  Parolin, with both sides highlighting inter-religious dialogue and the urgency of peace in the Middle  East.