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StratEGIC Monthly (05/2026) Oman, Qatar and UK-GCC Trade Deal

BY Daniela Palumbo

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31 May 2026

StratEGIC Monthly (05/2026)

Abstract:

Despite the ongoing war and regional tensions, the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council continue to shape global dynamics across energy, security, and trade. Oman’s push for renewable energy and green hydrogen reflects an accelerating transition toward sustainable economic models. At the same time, Qatar’s warning on the Strait of Hormuz highlights the region’s continued geopolitical importance in global energy security and maritime trade stability. Meanwhile, the UK–GCC free trade agreement signals deeper economic integration between Gulf states and major global economies.

Keywords:

Sustainability, renewable energy, economic diversification, cooperation, climate transition, Strait of Hormuz, maritime security, energy security, geopolitics, UK–Gulf relations, economic partnership.

Oman Sustainability Week 2026

Oman wrapped up Sustainability Week 2026 on 22 May, reaffirming its commitment to renewable energy, environmental protection and sustainable economic growth. The event brought together government officials, representatives of international organisations, business leaders and environmental experts to discuss strategies for reducing carbon emissions and accelerating the transition towards cleaner energy systems. The ambition of Oman to become a regional leader in sustainability and green innovation was emphasised throughout the conference. During the event, officials highlighted several significant initiatives already in progress to support the country’s environmental objectives. The country showcased its ongoing investments in large-scale solar and wind energy projects, and promoted the rapid development of green hydrogen production as part of its long-term economic diversification strategy. The discussions centred predominantly on the potential of renewable energy to enhance self-sufficiency in terms of oil revenues, whilst concurrently generating fresh industrial prospects and fostering foreign investment. The conference also highlighted the growing regional cooperation between Gulf countries in relation to sustainability policies and climate-related initiatives.

These actions reflect the broader transformation taking place across the Gulf region, where countries are balancing traditional energy interests with global climate priorities. Business and political leaders at the event emphasised that sustainability is becoming both an environmental necessity and an economic opportunity. Investments in clean energy infrastructure and green technologies are expected to generate employment opportunities, bolster long-term economic resilience, and enhance the competitiveness of Gulf economies in an ever-evolving global market. Oman is seeking to establish itself as an important player in shaping the future of clean energy and sustainable development by advancing renewable energy projects, encouraging regional cooperation and investing in sustainable industries.

Qatar is also Against the Closure of the Strait of Hormuz

Like the other GCC states, Qatar issued a strong warning about the growing risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. During a UN briefing on 07 May 2026, Qatari officials cautioned that any prolonged closure of the strait could trigger severe economic and geopolitical consequences far beyond the Middle East.

Qatar’s caution follows rising hostilities involving Iran and expanding apprehensions about regional discord spreading into sea trade routes. Qatari officials emphasised that closing the Strait of Hormuz would harm not only Gulf economies but also households, industries and transportation systems across Asia, Europe and beyond. The country has urged all parties to avoid escalation and prioritise diplomacy and international cooperation, given that the issue is already affecting global markets. Recent reports indicate that uncertainty surrounding shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has contributed to spikes in oil prices, shipping insurance costs and broader market volatility. Some energy companies have warned that long-term disruption could result in one of the largest energy shocks since the 1970s oil crises. Qatar has also positioned itself as a mediator in efforts to reduce tensions and reopen secure shipping channels. It stresses the importance of maritime security, freedom of navigation and diplomatic dialogue in maintaining regional and global stability. Qatar’s warning highlights how closely interconnected the modern global economy is. A crisis centred in one narrow shipping corridor can quickly affect energy supplies, food prices, transportation networks and financial markets worldwide. As tensions persist, the future of the Strait of Hormuz remains uncertain.

UK and Gulf States Sign Landmark Multi-Billion Trade Deal

Over the past month, the UK and the GCC signed a historic Free Trade Agreement expected to reshape economic relations between Britain and the Gulf region for years to come. Announced on 20 May 2026, the agreement is projected to add billions to the UK economy while strengthening ties with: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The deal is estimated to generate around £3.7 billion annually for the British economy in the long term and increase wages by approximately £1.9 billion each year. UK officials described it as one of the most significant post-Brexit trade achievements and the first major trade agreement between the GCC and a G7 country. A key aspect of the agreement is the elimination of tariffs on British exports to Gulf markets. Around 93% of GCC tariffs on UK goods will eventually be eliminated, with two-thirds being removed as soon as the agreement comes into effect. Sectors expected to benefit include automotive manufacturing, aerospace, food and drink exports, luxury goods, electronics and financial services. Products such as cheese, chocolate, cereals and butter are set to become much more competitive in Gulf markets. The services sector, which accounts for a significant proportion of the British economy, is also expected to benefit from increased market access and enhanced investor and business protections across the Gulf. According to analysts, the agreement could boost total UK-GCC trade by almost 20% over the next decade.

The Gulf region already represents one of the UK’s most important trading partners, with bilateral trade valued at more than £50 billion annually. Officials on both sides say the agreement will encourage investment, create jobs, and foster long-term cooperation across multiple industries. The trade pact highlights the growing significance of Gulf economies in global commerce and reflects Britain’s broader strategy of forging economic partnerships beyond Europe.