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Peace in Our Time? Riyadh Takes the Stage.

BY Matthew Robinson

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14 March 2025

Peace in Our Time? Riyadh Takes the Stage.

Saudi Arabia has stepped into the role as a pivotal global facilitator of peace. The ongoing initiative facilitated by Riyadh to seek an end to the Russia-Ukraine war demonstrates how it is amplifying its diplomatic might by weaving together US, Russian, and Chinese interests into its own Saudi-framework for peace. Saudi diplomacy is reshaping dynamics not only across the Middle East but worldwide, cementing its growing international stature.

Since Russia’s invasion, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) has directed Saudi foreign policy to pursue a balanced stance, condemning Russian aggression yet refraining from defaulting to Western sanctions. This balance, coupled with humanitarian support to Ukraine and consistent dialogue with Russia, positioned Saudi Arabia as a natural mediator to the conflict. Its creditability and influence in conflict resolution has been earlier evidenced in September 2022, when its officials brokered a major prisoner exchange, including the release of 10 captives from Morocco, the US, the UK, Sweden, and Ukraine.

In February 2025, Riyadh facilitated the first high-level talks in four years between US and Russian officials—Secretary of State Marco Rubio met Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov under Saudi auspices. Agreements were reached to seek an end to the Ukraine war and improve US-Russia ties, including plans to restore embassies, form a Ukraine peace support team, and explore economic cooperation. This meeting laid the groundwork for a potential Trump-Putin Summit in Saudi Arabia. Days later, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited Riyadh for talks with MbS. Zelenskyy hailed it as a “good meeting” and acknowledged Saudi efforts to bring “[…] true peace closer,” praising Saudi’s platform for diplomacy.

These efforts yielded tangible results, with Saudi officials convening Ukrainian and US delegations in Jeddah in March 2025. Kyiv signalled its openness to a 30-day ceasefire, conditional on Putin’s agreement on the part of Russia, and in return, Washington agreed to resume military aid and intelligence sharing to Ukraine. Although no final accord has been signed, Saudi Arabia’s mediation has perhaps shifted the conflict closer to de-escalation.

Riyadh’s multi-alignment strategy is evident in how it balances relations through convening wider groups of countries. For example, in August 2023 Saudi Arabia hosted a landmark Ukraine Peace Summit in Jeddah with 40 states (excluding Russia) to define principles for ending the war. At the centre of the Summit’s symbolic family photo sat Saudi National Security Advisor Musaed Al-Aiban flanked by US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan and China’s Special Representative for Eurasian Affairs, Li Hui. This imagery underscored Saudi Arabia’s ability to act as a bridge between powers. While the Jeddah talks yielded no immediate breakthrough, they showcased MbS’s positioning as a leader of a new ‘Non-Aligned Movement’ leveraging a multipolar world.

Saudi balance from the war’s outset — voting at the UN to uphold Ukraine’s sovereignty yet maintaining robust ties with Russia — made it a “palatable venue” for peace negotiations. Riyadh’s deepening partnership with China adds to its balancing act. It held a prominent China-Arab Summit in Riyadh (2022) and engaged in major oil and investment deals with Beijing, all while preserving its US alliance. Western alarm over Sino-Russian influence in the Gulf has been tempered by Saudi coordination, as Riyadh’s overtures to Beijing occasionally facilitate Chinese support for peace efforts, China’s presence at the Jeddah Summit for instance.

In effect, Saudi Arabia navigates between superpowers, promoting dialogue without firmly siding with any, embodying the role as a a multi-aligned power in its own right. Such a position affords Riyadh the ability to ease geopolitical tensions and opens channels between rivals — bolstering its strategic autonomy and diplomatic importance in the process.

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By investing in mediation, Saudi Arabia is amassing significant geopolitical and soft-power capital. Riyadh’s peace-brokering success enhances its legitimacy as a global mediator, helps bolster its leverage in bilateral relations, while also safeguarding its domestic and economic standing. Acting as a mediator between great powers gives Saudi Arabia leverage in its bilateral relations. For instance, facilitating US-Russia talks in the context of the Ukraine war can earn goodwill, and possibly concessions, from both Washington and Moscow. Similarly, inviting China into Middle East diplomacy, as seen with the Jeddah Summit, deepens Beijing’s stake in regional stability, which Riyadh can influence. By balancing relations with the US, Russia, and China, Saudi Arabia gains flexibility — it can court Chinese investment, coordinate oil policy with Russia in the context of OPEC+, and build on security guarantees from the Trump administration.

Enhanced global standing can only aid MbS’s Vision 2030 goals. With Saudi Arabia viewed as a stable, influential player in a tumultuous region, foreign investment into the country can continue to flow and future partnerships forged. Saudi mediation is reshaping power balances. It has deftly used its oil wealth and strategic geography to insert itself into discussions previously dominated by superpowers. By brokering ceasefires and dialogues, Saudi Arabia not only helps defuse conflicts but also expands its influence, regionally and globally. As Saudi brokers peace in Ukraine and beyond, it cements its transformation from a quiet oil giant to an active shaper of the international order.

Sources

Zelenskyy in Saudi Arabia as US voices hope for Ukraine peace talks, Reuters, 11 March 2025,
https://www.reuters.com/world/zelenskiy-heads-saudi-arabia-ahead-crunch-us-talks-2025-03-10/

Unpacking the Drivers of Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy, Gulf Research Center, 12 March 2025,
https://www.grc.net/single-commentary/234

The Russia-Ukraine Jeddah Meeting: A Win for MBS in a Changing Global Order, Arab Center Washington DC, 24 August 2023,
https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/the-russia-ukraine-jeddah-meeting-a-win-for-mbs-in-a-changing-global-order/

Saudi Arabia’s Emergence as a Diplomatic Broker, The Washington Institute, 12 March 2025
https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/saudi-arabias-emergence-diplomatic-broker

Trump’s Middle East Policy and Its Impact on Saudi Arabia, New Lines Institute, 13 March 2025,
https://newlinesinstitute.org/strategic-competition/trumps-middle-east-policy-and-its-impact-on-saudi-arabia/