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From Brexit and Bregret to Bregain

Reimagining Britain’s Future with Europe

BY Matthew Robinson and Piercamillo Falasca

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22 November 2024

From Brexit and Bregret to Bregain

Abstract—The UK and EU are natural partners and BREXIT has not changed that. Instead of focusing on the opportunities lost with the withdraw of the UK from the EU, it is time to look at refining the UK-EU relationship and enhance their areas of cooperation. Looking at trade, AI, security and geopolitics, this article explores some of the areas that cooperation could seamlessly forge a renewed and robust UK-EU strategic relationship.

Keywords—Brexit, UK, EU, cooperation, security, geopolitics, AI, trade, Mediterranean Sea

The term Bregret has come to encapsulate the growing recognition in the United Kingdom (UK) of the profound consequences — economic, geopolitical, and cultural — of Brexit. While regret may foster introspection, it does not necessarily provide a constructive way forward. The concept of Bregain, which is a neologism proposed by us, offers an alternative, focusing on the potential to rebuild a mutually beneficial relationship between the UK and the European Union (EU). It is not a call to reverse Brexit but rather to redefine the terms of engagement, preserving sovereignty while re-establishing collaboration on shared challenges such as economic resilience, security, and global competitiveness. The UK is uniquely positioned to leverage its historical ties, geographic proximity, and expertise to regain influence and relevance in its relationship with the EU. This recalibration could prioritise areas of mutual benefit, from trade facilitation and innovation to geopolitical stability.

Economic and Trade Reconfiguration

The economic costs of Brexit have been widely documented, with trade disruptions, increased bureaucracy and a predicted 4% long-term reduction in GDP growth as cited by the Office for Budget Responsibility. Bregain, however, could signify the rekindling of economic ties that allow for smoother trade flows, targeted agreements to reduce red tape, and participation in pivotal EU programmes like Horizon Europe. These steps would not only support UK businesses but also strengthen the EU’s access to the UK’s vibrant innovation ecosystem. Efforts to address these challenges must respect the political realities of Brexit while recognising the economic imperative of interconnectedness. Revisiting trade agreements with a focus on efficiency and cooperation could create a framework for stability and growth.

Similarly, Europe’s need for innovation aligns seamlessly with the UK’s strengths in technology and research. Collaboration in artificial intelligence (AI) offers a particularly promising avenue. The UK is a leader in AI research and applications, while the EU is shaping global standards through initiatives like the European AI Act. Joint efforts could focus on developing ethical and effective AI systems, driving productivity, and addressing global challenges like climate change and healthcare. By creating a shared AI ecosystem, the UK and EU could regain their position as global innovation leaders. This partnership would not only bolster their competitiveness but also set a cooperative tone for future engagements in high-tech fields.

In terms of geopolitical challenges, they are underscoring the urgency of UK-EU defence collaboration. The war in Ukraine has highlighted vulnerabilities across Europe, particularly regarding Russian aggression and Moscow’s recent use of a non-nuclear Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM). The UK, with its advanced naval, military and projection capabilities and intelligence networks, remains indispensable to European security. Recent discussions within the expanded Weimar format, which included topics like Eurobonds for defence financing, provides a template for further cooperation. The potential disengagement of the United States (US) from European affairs adds urgency to these efforts. A stronger UK-EU defence partnership could serve as a cornerstone of regional stability, ensuring NATO’s cohesion while fostering greater self-reliance within Europe.

Common Interests in the Mediterranean and Middle East

The stability of the Middle East and the security of the Mediterranean trade routes represent areas of strategic importance for both the UK and EU. As key stakeholders in global commerce and security, both have a vested interest in maintaining stability in this volatile region. Cooperation with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) could be particularly fruitful, addressing energy security, counter-terrorism, and economic diversification. The Mediterranean is not merely a corridor for trade; it is a vital connection point linking Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa. Collaborative efforts to secure this region, ensure free navigation, and support regional stability could form another pillar of the UK-EU partnership. In this sense, Bregain could extend beyond European borders, fostering a broader alliance with shared goals.

Toward a Pragmatic Future

The concept of Bregain embodies a pragmatic shift from the introspection of Bregret to the active pursuit of new opportunities. It is a recognition that geography, history, and shared interests bind the UK and the EU more than political divisions might suggest. Whether in defense, trade, innovation, or geopolitical stability, there is much to be gained from cooperation. This reimagined relationship would not require a return to EU membership but rather a tailored framework for partnership, reflecting mutual respect and shared goals. From stabilising trade and advancing AI to securing the Mediterranean and fostering Middle East cooperation, Bregain offers a vision for a constructive and resilient future. The stakes are significant. In a world marked by economic uncertainty, shifting power dynamics, and escalating threats, collaboration is not merely desirable—it is essential. Bregain could redefine the UK-EU relationship as one of innovation, strength, and shared purpose, ensuring both entities are better equipped to navigate the challenges of the 21st century.